Initial posts about this topic:
Baseball Betting System #1
Baseball Betting Tactics #2
Baseball Betting Tips #3
Strategy in Baseball Betting #4

In this post I will continue to talk about baseball betting strategy. We will discuss aim, series, formula, rules, ‘under total with two great pitchers’, evidence. Hope these points will help to understand better successful betting in baseball.

Aim

The simple aim, the essence of which is to bet only on the baseball underdogs, who haven’t lost three games in a series and play versus a favorite team, which haven’t win 3 or more times in succession and has their standard start pitchers.

Series

Unlike the bulk of my programs, this series contains no system. Instead of this your bets will be based on the percentage of your Personal Bank of Bets, formula of which is below.

Formula

A simple formula to define the amount of your stake in The Baseball Underdog System.

.0125 x of your Bank = the amount of your stake.

It means that you bet 1.25% of your Bank on every game. So if your bank had constituted 1 600$, you would have betted 20$ on each game. Playing at the average about 5 games per day means you bet 100$ per day.

It will protect your Personal Bank of Bets. In fact, you would have had 0 wins and 80 losses, or you would have played about 16 days without wins to lose your Bank.

You are possible to think that the amount of these initial bets is very low. Well, you may increase them to 2.5% from your Bank. It means that you would have had 0 wins and 40 losses, or you would have played about 8 days without wins, to lose your Bank.

Rules

1. Every day check American and National league and automatically cross out from your list of bets any underdogs, which have more than +150 odds on moneyline or about it.

2. From the remained games cross out the games, in which the underdogs have lost three or more times in succession, or the favorites have won three or more times in succession. (You can find this information in MLB of the daily newspapers.)

3. From the rest of the games cross out all the games where pitchers are in the Top 20 from AL or NL to ERA, or NPERA, as it was defined by Jeff Sagarin (R) (see above).

4. You have to stake only on 3-9 games (from 15) per day. Bet 20$ (as in our discussed example) on each underdogs’ game, do it in every your favorable bookmaker office to find the best moneylines.

5. Before betting the next day, count the amount of your Personal Bank of Bets and increase your bets to amount each your stake to 1.25% of your Bank.