Some points of this topic was covered here:
bets on total of baseball matches #1
matches totals in baseball betting #2
Today I would like to describe 4 (just four 🙂 )main factors that can affect your betting luck. I also provided some examples to understand better all these points.
4 Key Factors To Study Before Baseball Match Betting:
1. 2 Main team pitchers
There are 9 men in each team who play the baseball match (10 if you count DH in the American League), but only two of them, in fact, control the result of the game – the starting pitchers.
And the most striking example was in 2001, when Arizona Diamondbacks by means of pitchers’ hits – Cy YoungĐ°, CurtĐ° SchillingĐ° and Randy JohnsonĐ°, “came” to the World Series and won Yankee.
The last 3 games: the last pitcher’s results are the most important fact that defines whether you will stake on the team in this game, or not. Almost every daily newspaper in the country publishes the reviews of the following daily baseball matches, including the pitcher’s statistics. Perhaps, none of other statistics is so important as the statistics of the three last pitcher’s starts.
For example, Mike Mussina started the season in 2003 with Yankee 7-0 and his ERA was less than 2.00. But in the three following games he played 0-3, and his ERA was more than 5.00. That means, if you had considered only his full statistics of the season, you, perhaps, would be tempted to stake on him, and your decision would be based on his win/loss statistics 7-3 and ERA 2.54. But having made more detailed analysis of the games, you would know that he wasn’t in a good trim.
Record (statistics) of the games against a particular opponent.
By any reasons, some pitchers demonstrate perfect playing against some teams, and absolutely bad playing against others. This fact has no rational explanation, but this statistics is also should be considered during the game analysing. The most sport newspapers (web sites) publish the history of pitchers’ games in the previous year against their opponent team, which is most appropriate. But one should remember about transferring of pitchers.
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